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TSLA Q1 2026 Earnings Summary
Tesla reported a solid beat in Q1:
Revenue: $22.39 billion (beat expectations)
Non-GAAP EPS: $0.41 (beat estimates)
Vehicle deliveries came in at 358k, slightly below forecasts, while energy storage deployment slowed sharply to 8.8 GWh.
The stock initially poped up but then dropped sharply.
The beat was driven by strong cost control and regulatory credits, though core auto demand remains soft. Analyst Reaction: Mixed but leaning cautious.
Bulls highlighted margin improvement and long-term bets on Robotaxi, FSD, and Optimus.
Bears pointed to weak deliveries, high inventory, and rising CapEx as ongoing concerns.
TSLA Elliott Wave Chart
Remember all those accurate calls on TSLA's peaks and troughs in the last 3 years?
They were results of my cycle and/or Elliott wave analysis.
Last year, I shared both black and red EW counts due to unresolved ambiguity at the time.
TSLA revisited the triangle apex and the Fibonacci retracement area for black circle-b, followed by an impulsive bounce, as expected.
Perfect. Bottomed?
Not so fast. I now have multiple reasons to believe that the red count is in play, and that TSLA will retest, and likely break, the 2025 low by late 2026.
It was rejected by the 200D MA. Pardon my busy chart, but it has a lot of useful details.
I will post my cycle analysis of TSLA in the weekend newsletter. Keep an eye on your inbox!
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