Stocks Rebounded on Faded Trade War Fears

The Art of the Deal, or TACO Again?

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  • Today, as a part of a series of Magnificent 7 posts, we will review Nvidia (NVDA).

  • On Wednesday, we will review META.

Greenland Compromise - The Art of The Deal

  • US President Trump withdrew threatened tariffs (10% from Feb 1, rising to 25% by June) on 8 European countries (Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, UK, Netherlands, Finland) after announcing a "framework deal" with NATO on Greenland's future.

  • The compromise emphasizes enhanced NATO presence in the Arctic, potential sovereign US claims to parts of Greenland territory, and measures to block Russian and Chinese economic/military influence, such as restricting mineral mining.

  • This de-escalation reduces immediate trade war risks, allowing resumption of stalled US-EU trade agreements and easing market tensions.

  • European leaders welcomed the move as a step toward transatlantic unity but expressed skepticism, noting that more details and negotiations are needed to ensure long-term stability.

Nvidia Cycles

  • NVDA is not much different from other Magnificent 7 stocks in that it lost its momentum and probably peaked in October.

  • Both the daily and the weekly chart cycle composites indicate a weakness into the second half of 2026.

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  • FED's Reverse Repos Are Out, Money Market Funds Are In. Why and what it means? Watch my YouTube video to find out: 

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What’s Next for the Stock Market?

  • Greenland tariffs are off the table, for now; they supported the bounce, in part, but we had other indications that were suggesting a bounce.

  • It is not entirely clear whether it was Trump's “The Art of the Deal” or TACO, but everyone seems happy.

  • However, the agreement between Trump and the NATO Chief is not very meaningful since it did not include Greenland and Denmark; I would not be shocked if the issues resurface. . .

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