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Today we will be covering...
Today, in addition to the usual stock market coverage, we will examine the precious metals and crypto.
What Moved the Markets
Geopolitics – Iran/U.S. Tensions & Strait of Hormuz - Stalled U.S.–Iran ceasefire talks and renewed friction in the Strait of Hormuz pushed oil prices sharply higher (Brent briefly over $108). Markets remained resilient but volatile, with energy stocks gaining while broader risk sentiment was capped.
Big Tech & AI Spending Scrutiny - Reports of OpenAI missing internal sales/user targets triggered a selloff in AI-related names (NVDA, ORCL, ARM down 2–8%). This casts a shadow ahead of the massive earnings week (Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Apple).
Gold Cycles
Earlier this year, cycles detected the gold peak to the day.
There was no much change. The four dominant cycles point to a cycle trough in July.
Read more on Gold and Silver in the Pro newsletter
BravoCyles on Youtube
Cycles Predicted S&P 500 Weakness Months Ago. This cycle analysis is still relevant?
Where are oil prices going? Watch my cycle analysis on YouTube:
BraVoCycles on X
If you are interested in financial markets, you are missing a lot by not following me on X, as I do not have enough canvas space in the newsletter to post all my research, which I try to post on X. Also, I often post important real-time updates between the newsletters.
What’s Next for the Stock Market?
Still a pause to refresh after strong gains.
OpenAI may have contributed to tech's weakness yesterday, although we expected some consolidation this week anyway.
Early next week, we have the typical pension fund inflows, which may provide a positive market.
As I understand, there are multiple central bank meetings this week, including the FED’s rate decision today at 2 pm ET, which may cause some volatility in forex and stocks.
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