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Hey {{ first name | Market Timer }}!
Today we will be covering...
Today, in addition to the usual stock market and crypto coverage, we will have a forex special, given multiple central banks’ decisions, including the US and Japan.
What Moved the Markets
Big Tech Earnings (Mag 7): Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft reported Q1 results. Strong beats overall with robust AI/cloud growth, but heavy capex guidance (especially Meta & Microsoft) sparked some volatility. Markets largely rewarded the resilience. Apple reported later in the week.
Federal Reserve: Held rates steady (as expected) in what was likely Jerome Powell’s final meeting as Chair. Officials showed increased division amid geopolitical risks and sticky inflation concerns from oil prices. Powell signaled he will remain on the Board post-May 15.
Geopolitics & Oil: Ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruptions kept oil elevated, adding inflation pressure. Markets showed resilience as hopes of a ceasefire and strong earnings offset some concerns.
Overall, risk assets held firm with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq pushing records, supported by AI optimism despite macro/geopolitical crosscurrents.
USD Dollar Index (DX) Cycles
The recent correction from the March peak may be temporarily over, as the cycles indicate a few months of $DXY ( 0.0% ) strength.
Whether that may lead to a higher high, or is a bounce in a larger correction, is TBR.
We will do a deep dive into DXY, EURUSD, and USDJPY in the Pro newsletter.
BraVoCycles on X
If you are interested in financial markets, you are missing a lot by not following me on X, as I do not have enough canvas space in the newsletter to post all my research, which I try to post on X. Also, I often post important real-time updates between the newsletters.
What’s Next for the Stock Market?
As expected, the FED did not move the markets.
But strong earnings from the tech mega-caps and pension fund inflow on Friday pushed the market late in the week. . .
To continue reading about what’s next for the stock market, US Markets, Elliott Wave and Technical analysis of US Markets, volatility, as well as commodities, bonds, forex, currencies and crypto claim your promotional rate of 85% off for 3 months now. . .
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