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Today we will be covering...

  • Today, we will examine semiconductors index ETF, SMH.

What Moved the Markets

  • Intel crushed Q1 expectations (revenue $13.6B, EPS $0.29 vs. ~$0.01 est.) on April 23, driving its stock +15–23% and lifting semis/tech broadly. Other beats (e.g., GE Vernova, Boeing) reinforced the narrative of resilient corporate profits, powering record closes in major indices despite geopolitical noise.

  • Resilient U.S. Economy Data Amid Higher Oil Prices – March retail sales and manufacturing indicators came in stronger than feared, showing the economy absorbing the recent energy shock. This helped markets shrug off Iran-related concerns and supported risk appetite.

  • U.S.–Iran Ceasefire Extension + Ongoing Strait of Hormuz Tensions (Geopolitics) - President Trump extended the fragile U.S.–Iran ceasefire indefinitely, easing immediate fears and supporting a broad equity rally (S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit fresh records on April 22). However, Iran seized two ships in the Strait of Hormuz shortly after, keeping oil prices elevated and volatility high. This remains the dominant geopolitical risk factor. 

Semiconductor Index ETF - SMH

  • Amazing SMH Momentum RSI and MACD through the roof. 

  • Series of bullish candles, runaway gaps, ... you name it.

  • Could it run more? Check out SMH cycles in the Pro newsletter.

BravoCyles on Youtube

Cycles Predicted S&P 500 Weakness Months Ago. This cycle analysis is still relevant? 

Where are oil prices going? Watch my cycle analysis on YouTube:

BraVoCycles on X

  • If you are interested in financial markets, you are missing a lot by not following me on X, as I do not have enough canvas space in the newsletter to post all my research, which I try to post on X. Also, I often post important real-time updates between the newsletters.

What’s Next for the Stock Market?

  • The geopolitical uncertainty continues.

  • Many sectors are very overbought.

  • The stock market needs a breather.

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