Dow Jones Reached 50K Milestone

When Top?

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News Buzz:

  • Tech Rebound Drives Market Gains on Monday (Feb 9): The S&P 500 rose 0.47% to 6,964.82, Nasdaq up 0.9% to 23,238.67, and Dow inched 0.04% to a new record 50,135.87, as tech stocks recovered from last week's AI capex fears, with the S&P technology sector up 1.6% and software services rallying 2.9%.

  • S&P 500 Hits Intraday High on Tuesday (Feb 10): The broad index opened up 0.2% near 6,979, briefly surpassing its prior record close, amid steady sentiment and anticipation of key economic data like jobs and inflation reports.

  • Ongoing Tech Rotation and AI Spending Scrutiny: Pundits highlighted continued shifts from high-valuation AI/tech stocks (e.g., MSFT, AMZN) to value sectors, with concerns over massive capex forecasts (Amazon >$200B) leading to reassessment of AI profitability vs. growth.

  • Dow's Milestone Momentum: Building on Friday's first close above 50,000, the Dow touched fresh intraday highs on Monday, reflecting broader market resilience despite tech volatility, with analysts viewing it as healthy consolidation.

  • Geopolitical and Trade Tensions Loom: Commentary noted potential tariff threats from Trump on Canada, South Korea, and Europe as risks, alongside ongoing conflicts (Russia-Ukraine, U.S.-Iran), adding uncertainty ahead of Fed policy easing wagers.

Software Sector- Part I

Repost from Sunday’s Pro Newsletter:

  • The software sector has experienced some intense selling recently.

  • Notably, we caught in 2025 up- and downswings in some leaders such as SAP and MSFT. 

  • However, the cycle composite of the software sector ETF, IGV, indicates that a rebound into Summer is likely, although we may still see a lower low in the next two months.

  • The top five IGV holdings are:

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) — ~9.5%
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) — ~8.2%
Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) — ~7.8%
Oracle Corporation (ORCL) — ~7.5%
Intuit Inc. (INTU) — ~5.5%

  • We will do a deep dive on MSFT and PLTR in the Pro Newsletter today; The latter three will be analyzed in Sunday’s newsletter.

BraVoCycles on X

  • If you are interested in financial markets, you are missing a lot by not following me on X, as I do not have enough canvas space in the newsletter to post all my research, which I try to post on X. Also, I often post important real-time updates between the newsletters.

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What’s Next for the Stock Market?

  • Stock market indices continued with the rally on Monday and started a small consolidation on Tuesday, which may take 1-2 days. . .

To continue reading about what’s next for the stock market, US Markets, Elliott Wave and Technical analysis of US Markets, volatility, as well as commodities, bonds, forex, currencies and crypto claim your Free Trial to Premium Pro. . .

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