World-Wide Selloff

Japanese Market – Ninja Swings

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Japanese Market – Technical Analysis

  • Consider EWJ, iShares MSCI Japan ETF.

  • EWJ broke below a 2-year-long price channel (gray).

  • It is below 10D EMA and broke below 50D, 100D and 200D Mas.

  • Thus, it can be considered to be in ST, MT, and LT downtrends, and all of the above will represent resistances on attempted bounces.

EWJ – Cycle Analysis

  • The weekly cycle composite peak coincided with the March peak in EWJ.

  • The cycle bias is negative until at least Spring 2025, bounces non-withstanding.

SPX Technical Analysis

  • SPX had a Bearish Engulfing yesterday (NDX also). Bearish implications, as we discussed multiple times.

  • The last two days, SPX has been battling 100D MA, unsuccessfully, so far.

  • It reversed at exactly 38% Fibonacci retracement level of the entire drop since the top.

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