- Market Twists & Turns by BraVoCycles Newsletter
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- Stock Market Showed Its Cards
Stock Market Showed Its Cards
SPX Likely Heading to a New High.
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Today, we will review some technical analysis aspects of SPX.
We will also look at a chart showing the total stock market capitalization ratio to GDP and its implications.
SPX Technical Analysis
SPX had a bullish engulfing candle after the bearish engulfing candle in the previous week.
The bullish engulfing candle after a downtrend is a bullish reversal pattern, but it is not bulletproof.
SPX bounced off the downtrend line of the red wedge and closed above 10W EMA, which is positive.
It closed just below the previously broken smaller green wedge, representing resistance. But SPX can continue to a new high underneath the green wedge.
From the daily SPX chart, we can see that SPX gapped over the grey channel and 50D MA, which are bullish developments.
The bounce also produced an initial five waves up, which is bullish.
According to the Elliott Wave Theory, one should expect a 3-wave pullback after five waves up followed by at least another 5-wave sequence.
However, I expect to complete five waves up of minute degree: (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v).
Sentiment
The Fear & Greed Index moved decisively toward the neutral region.
We would like to see it move to a high greed or extreme greed area before looking to topping signs.
The chart below is of longer-term significance.
It shows that there is a risk in the stock market when the market capitalization is significant compared to GDP.
Presently, the market cap to GDP ratio is waiving a red flag, but it is not a short-term timing signal.
Consider following me on X (former Twitter) in addition to the newsletter, as I often post valuable information there in real time between the newsletters.
The McClellan Volume Summation Index is a good indicator of internal market health.
Are you watching only SPX price?
McClellan Summation Index was giving us hints about both top and bottom in SPX.— BraVoCycles Newsletter (@BraVoCycles)
9:51 PM • Jan 18, 2025
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