Stock Market Needs a Breather

Investors Are Warming Up To Stock Market

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Today we will be covering...

  • Today, we will examine the financial sector cycles (JPMorgan Chase is covered in the Pro newsletter).

  • The US-China trade talks should finish today. This may be a trading catalyst.

  • The Wall Street Journal has reported that President Trump has already given the go-ahead to remove export controls on China.

  • The CPI will be released on Wednesday.

Financial Sector Cycles

  • The financial sector ETF, XLF, dominant cycle suggests a weakness for the financial sector in 2026.

Sentiment & Technical Analysis

  • The CNN’s Fear & Greed Index is in Greed.

  • NYSE Adv/Dec line should lead the stock market to new highs. 

  • I mentioned last week that I would not be surprised if the McClellan Summation Index (MSI), $NYSI in the chart, whipsawed.

  • It did turn up and above the 5D EMA.

  • However, as the SPX wedge (ending diagonal) is being completed into the upper Bollinger Band boundary, the MSI may whipsaw again.

BraVoCycles on X

  • Consider following me on X (former Twitter) in addition to the newsletter, as I often post valuable information there in real time between the newsletters.

    • JNK, a high-yield bonds ETF, is negatively diverging relative to SPX.

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