Stock Market is Cracking, As Expected

Could Geopolitical Headlines Cause Major Moves Over the Weekend?

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BraVoCycles Newsletter
June 19, 2025

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Today we will be covering...

  • Today, we will examine emerging market long bonds (LEBM) vs US long bonds (TLT)

  • In the next few issues, we will look at some interesting forex pairs setups.

Emerging Markets Local Currency Bonds

  • I am intrigued by the emerging markets local currency bonds ETF, LEBM, but it is overbought right now.

  • The daily and weekly cycle composites suggest it should start a correction soon. The correction may last a year or so.

  • Is LEBM going to decline in part because of the strength of the US Dollar?

  • We will look at TLT in the Pro newsletter.

Sentiment & Technical Analysis

  • The CNN’s Fear & Greed Index was essentially unchanged, in Neutral.

  • 5-day average put/call ratio is rebounding from a low level.

  • NYSE Hew Highs – New Lows is a red flag for long-term investors.

  • It is not a short-term trading signal.

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  • Consider following me on X (former Twitter) in addition to the newsletter, as I often post valuable information there in real time between the newsletters.

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