SPX Wedges

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SPX Wedges

  • Figures 1 and 2 show some important wedge structures that SPX formed. They also show that SPX reached the upper range of the price target obtained using converged Centered Moving Averages (CMAs), which I presented several months ago in Lesson 1.

  • Figure 1 reveals a multi-decade long-term (LT) wedge in SPX, a pattern of great significance. SPX has demonstrated its precision by just touching and slightly exceeding the upper trend-line (UTL) of the blue wedge, only to reverse back below it!

  • Figure 2 shows the medium-term (MT) red and short-term (ST) green wedge.

  • SPX almost reached the UTL of the red wedge.

  • SPX slightly exceeded the UTL of the green wedge, so-called overthrow, and reversed back to retest the LTL of the green wedge. I expect SPX to break below it soon, which may accelerate selling in SPX.

  • What gives even more significance to these patterns is that:

    1. SPX achieved and/or exceeded all cycle price targets and

    2. The weekly and daily cycle composites are pointing down, the former should reverse to down this or next week.

  • So we have strong indications of negative market bias in the ST, MT and LT.

Fig 1. Long-term blue wedge.

Fig 2. Short-term green wedge and Intermediate-term red wedge.

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