Relentless Stock Market

Grinding Higher, But for How Long?

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Do You Like Hershey (HSY)?

  • Cycles like Hershey's stock, HSY should be reversing from a 4-year cycle trough soon. 

  • Elliott Wave Theory also likes it. After five waves up and a three-wave correction, at least another five waves up should follow.

  • We will explore whether and how HSY is related to cocoa price in Pro content.

Sentiment & Technical Analysis

  • The Fear & Greed Index just got to Neutral. Ideally, we look for turning points when this index is at extremes. 

  • Small speculators are incredibly long, they must have been making mucho $$$ last year.

  • Will the “big guys” do a “rug pull” on them?

  • But this is not a short-term signal – This indicator has been extreme for months.

  • The technical analysis of market internals warned us about the stock market reversal on January 12, 2025. The cycles and Elliott Waves did, too.

  • But now, the stock market internals are weakening, at least as captured by the NYSE Adv/Dec line (upper window) and SPX up/down percentage (bottom window).

  • Although not calling the top yet, this chart indicates that the main part of the move in SPX is likely behind us.

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