Precious Metals Outlook

Are They Precious?

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 We usually cover gold and silver, but there are other precious metals opportunities. Today I will look at Palladium.

  • Palladium is considered a relatively rare precious metal. It is rarer than gold and silver. When comparing palladium to gold, palladium is thirty times rarer and has sometimes been worth more per troy ounce. 

  • Palladium has been used as a precious metal in jewelry since 1939 as an alternative to platinum in the alloys called "white gold", where the naturally white color of palladium does not require rhodium plating.

  • More than half the supply of palladium and its congener platinum is used in catalytic converters, which convert as much as 90% of the harmful gases in automobile exhaust (hydrocarbonscarbon monoxide, and nitrogen dioxide) into nontoxic substances (nitrogencarbon dioxide and water vapor). 

  • Palladium is also used in electronics, dentistrymedicinehydrogen purification, chemical applications, and groundwater treatment

  • Palladium is a key component of fuel cells, in which hydrogen and oxygen react to produce electricity, heat, and water.

Palladium Cycles Outlook

  • Palladium’s price dropped about 70% since 2022.

  • It is worth exploring it as a value play, but need to make sure it is not a value trap.

  • The price pattern suggests a bottoming process that may not be completed yet.

  • The daily cycle composite suggest that about 60-week cycle dominates and is expected to have the next cycle trough in Q2’2025, which will be good time to re-examine palladium opportunity.

  • The weekly cycle composite indicates a cycle trough in the first half of 2027, which is dominated by the well known 3.5-years cycle.

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  • Check out our latest YouTube video about gold.

  • Consider following me on X (former Twitter) in addition to the newsletter, as I often post valuable information there in real time between the newsletters.

    • Consumers are not optimistic about salary increases, but are even more optimistic about 12-month stock market outlook.

Look out for our weekend newsletter on Sunday.  We will review crypto currencies. 

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