Nervously Awaiting Another Push Higher

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GDX Then

• On 3 October, I posted below:

  • In February, I pointed out the GDX, gold miners' ETF, opportunity, as its price did not reflect the advancement in gold's price.

  • GDX rallied about 60% since then.

  • There are two ways to count GDX in terms of Elliott Waves: black and green.

  • The daily cycles suggest a consolidation/pullback into 2025.

  • The weekly cycles indicate that the dominant cycle will not peak until 2026.

  • Given the cycle picture, I favor the green count.

  • Read our Oct 3rd blog: Cash is As Good As Money 

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GDX Now

• Here is my update.

• The black Elliott Wave count is now preferred, and the price evolution path is shown.

• The cycle turning points have not changed noticeably.

• If my estimate of the pullback target for (B) turns out to be correct, the ideal target for (C) will be 61. 

• Of course, it could be 61 +/-. But it will be almost double the price from (B) to (C).

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  • An interesting chart describing how the stock market works.

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