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Is Stock Market Rebound Tired?
Will Tariff/Trade Headlines Continue to Dominate Trading?
Hey Market Timer!
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Today we will be covering...
Today, we will examine several additional lithium-related stocks in the Pro newsletter.
We will examine several SPX technical indicators in the Free newsletter.
On the tariffs front, President Trump raised iron and aluminum tariffs to 50%, effective this Wednesday.
President Trump also noted that China is not delivering on the trade deal, although it was unclear what the deal was, as there were only some initial discussions a week ago.
SPX vs McClellan Summation Index
We mentioned a few times that the McClellan Summation Index is a good swing trend indicator.
It has been declining since the last SPX high. This is one indication that the market rebound since April may be over.

Sentiment & Technical Analysis
The CNN’s Fear & Greed Index slightly declined—a nothing burger.
The McClellan Volume Summation Index has declined for several days, while the Net New 52 Highs and Lows on the NYSE is still rising.
The divergence between these indicators represented an advanced warning about a potential SPX trend reversal.
When the Net New 52 Highs and Lows starts to decline, it may signal that the SPX trend has reversed.

Notes:
The McClellan Volume Summation Index - This measure looks at the amount, or volume, of shares on the NYSE that are rising compared to the number of shares that are falling. A low (or even negative) number is a bearish sign. The Fear & Greed Index uses decreasing trading volume as a signal for Fear.
The Net New 52 Highs and Lows on the NYSE - A few big stocks can skew returns for the market. It’s also important to know how many stocks are doing well versus those that are struggling. This shows the number of stocks on the NYSE at 52-week highs compared to those at 52-week lows. When there are many more highs than lows, that’s a bullish sign and signals Greed.
BraVoCycles on X
Consider following me on X (former Twitter) in addition to the newsletter, as I often post valuable information there in real time between the newsletters.
Extremely low spread between BB-rated and BBB-rated bond yields suggests complacency in the bond market. However, it is not a short-term sell signal but something to be aware of and watch for a crack in the bond market.

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