Investors Bought the Dip

Magnificent 7 - AAPL

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News Buzz

  • CPI shows that retail prices are now up just 2.5% over last year.

  • History shows Wall Street analysts' estimates can be 30% too high at the peak, which one strategist says may be now.

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Magnificent 7 – AAPL, Then

  • Our cycle analysis in July nailed perfectly the August drop and subsequent bounce and another drop in September so far.

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Magnificent 7 – AAPL, Next

  • AAPL may bounce from 210-215 in Q4.

  • However, it should continue down in 2025, with an expected major cycle trough in 2026.

  • Interestingly, many vital stocks and indexes show a major cycle low in 2026, which should be due to the strong 3-3.5Y cycle.

  • Consider following me on X (former Twitter) in addition to the newsletter, as I often post valuable information there in real time between the newsletters. On Tuesday, I posted an interesting chart (courtesy of Elliott Wave International).

    • The chart shows that the ratio of NDX to DJUA (Dow Jones Utility Average) achieved record recently.

    • The former, NDX, corresponds to the risk-on mode of investors, while the latter corresponds to the risk-off.

    • When this ratio reaches extremes and reverses, NDX typically enters a bear market.

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Market Summary

As of close on 11 September, 2024

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