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Greenland Tariff Tantrum is Cracking Stock Market
Will There Be a Trade War Between the US & Europe?
BraVoCycles Newsletter
January 21, 2026
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Today we will be covering...
Today, as a part of a series of Magnificent 7 posts, we will review AMZN.
On Sunday, we will review META.
Amazon CEO Andy Jassy told CNBC at the World Economic Forum in Davos that President Trump's tariffs are now showing up in prices as sellers decide whether to absorb or pass on costs.
Amazon and third-party merchants had pre-purchased inventory to avoid tariff impacts and keep prices low, but Jassy said most of that supply ran out last fall, forcing price changes now.
This marks a shift from last year, when Jassy said Amazon hadn't seen prices go up much; he had predicted some sellers would need to raise prices because margins are too thin.
Greenland Tariff Tantrum and Trade War:
Global stocks sold off sharply on Tuesday after President Trump threatened tariffs on European allies over opposition to the U.S. acquiring Greenland.
Major U.S. indexes fell: Dow -1.76% (48,488), S&P 500 -2.06% (6,797), Nasdaq -2.39% (22,954).
Treasuries sold off, the dollar weakened, the yield curve steepened, and the VIX spiked +10.3% to 20.78—signaling rising fear.
Safe-haven gold surged +3.6% to a new record above $4,760; cryptocurrencies dropped (Bitcoin -3.3%, Ether -7%).
Market reaction reflects uncertainty over potential EU trade retaliation and reduced demand for U.S. debt, though analysts caution that details are limited and not all tariff threats materialize.
AMZN Cycles
As I noticed a couple of times, Magnificent 7 stocks have been losing momentum and have underperformed the Equal Weight S&P 500 since the October high.
$AMZN ( ▼ 3.4% ) is not different; both the daily and the weekly chart cycle composites are pointing down, at least for another couple of months.
It may bounce during a potential summer rally, but it will likely be under pressure for the balance of 2026.
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Extraordinary equity fund inflows in January!
What’s Next for the Stock Market?
We expected a correction, largely driven by the 11-trading-day cycle. It did happen, likely slightly exaggerated by the Greenland tariff tantrum.
Should the trade war escalate between the US and Europe, it can cause a significant correction, and the development should be watched.
We will track multiple indicators to stay ahead of the market moves. . .
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