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NDX Shines while Stock Market Bleeds Internally
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Let us start unveiling key Elliott Wave concepts. . .
EWT Lesson: Motive Waves - Impulses
Motive waves are the driving force behind Elliott Wave Theory, representing the market's impulse or momentum in a particular direction. They consist of five sub-waves labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5, where waves 1, 3, and 5 move in the direction of the larger trend, and waves 2 and 4 retrace some of the previous wave's move.
Motive waves are essential for identifying the overall trend and potential turning points in the market. By understanding their structure and characteristics, traders can make informed decisions about entry and exit points, as well as risk management strategies.
Within motive waves, there are two primary types:
Impulse waves, and
Diagonal waves.
Impulse Waves are the most common type of motive wave. An impulse always subdivides into five waves, with specific rules governing their formation and relationship to each other. They are considered the most reliable indicator of the market's direction.
A typical impulse wave and correction wave are shown in the figure below.
In an uptrend, at the end of correction, new motive wave comprising five waves make a progress in the direction of the trend. It is not a straight line. According to the original Elliott Wave Theory, an impulse comprises actionary waves 1,3, and 5, each consisting of five waves, and reactionary wave 2 and 4, each comprising three waves. However, since the introduction of computer trading based on various technical analysis methods, it appears that sometimes waves 1, 3, and 5 are three-wave structure, as exceptions to the Elliott Wave rules, reflective of computer “psychology” vs human psychology.
When the impulse wave (1) is completed, a correction in three waves commences. In this example, the corrective wave (2) is a zig-zag A-B-C.
There are several other corrective structures, but we will address that in lessons dedicated to corrective waves.
In downtrends you can flip the figure above. The impulse waves make progress down, while corrections point up and retrace a smaller or larger fraction of the impulse wave’s length.
Key Impulse Waves Rules:
Wave 2 cannot retrace more than the beginning of wave 1.
Wave 3 cannot be the shortest of the waves 1,3, and 5, but does not need to be the longest.
The end of wave 4 cannot be within the range of wave 1.
Wave 3 is always an impulse.
Waves 1 and 5 are either impulses or less often diagonals.
Some observed exceptions:
It was occasionally observed in futures and commodities markets that the end of wave 4 was below the top of wave 1.
Since the introduction of computer trading, based on various technical analysis methods, it appears that sometimes waves 1, 3, and 5 are three-wave structure, as opposed to five-wave structures as per Elliott Wave rules, reflective of computer “psychology” vs human psychology.
We will introduce other rules in relation to specific topics. A comprehensive list of rules and guidelines is provided in Elliott Wave Principle by Frost and Prechter, a must to have reference for students of Elliott Wave Theory.
Diagonal Waves are less common and occur at the beginning or end of larger degree impulse waves. They are also five-wave structures, but they have a distinct pattern compared to impulsive waves and tend to be less reliable than the impulse waves. We will discuss diagonal waves in the next lesson.
Find more educational resource and lessons, here.
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We nailed Tesla’s low in May and identified long term bullish cycle constellation.
On Friday we posted a daily cycle update that suggests that a TSLA pullback may not be far out.
#TSLA can start a correction soon, as per the two dominant cycles on the daily chart.
Also its 74W cycle is about to peak soon, see the weekly cycle composite posted earlier.
$TSLA #MagnificentSeven#NDX $NDX #QQQ— BraVoCycles Newsletter (@BraVoCycles)
8:02 PM • Dec 13, 2024
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