FED Taketh 0.5%

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News Buzz

• FED takes an aggressive interest-rate policy with a half-point cut.

• FED says it will consider follow-on rate cuts carefully.

• FED now considers a ‘neutral’ interest-rate to be 2.9%.

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NFLX – Daily Cycles

• Daily cycles suggest some additional up bias into mid-October, then down into November.

NFLX – Weekly Cycles

• NFLX also shows a significant cycle through in 2026, just like many important stocks and indexes.

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• Consider following me on X (former Twitter) in addition to the newsletter, as I often post valuable information there in real time between the newsletters.

• On Tuesday evening, I posted a chart intended for the premium content, showing SOX’s price evolution.

  • A market leader until July turned out to be a significant laggard compared to SPX – Intermarket divergence yellow flag.

  • But it still has a somewhat higher cycle target depicted by the green rectangle.

  • My expectation is that SOX will significantly underperform SPX in the next bear market.

Market Summary

As of close on 18 September, 2024

What Has Been

• Asia was mixed, Europe and the U.S. were primarily red.

• The US market initially rallied after FED’s announcement about a 0.5% rate cut but ended lower in choppy trading.

• Dow declined 103.08 points or -0.25% to 41,503.1.

• S&P 500 declined 16.32 points or -0.29% to 5,618.26.

• Nasdaq declined 54.76 points or -0.31% to 17,573.3.

• Russell 2000 advanced 0.86% to 0.04% to 2,206.34.

• Treasury yields were up – Buy the rumor sell the news.

What’s Next

. . .

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