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News Buzz

• FED’s Bostic: Economy is ‘losing momentum’ but there is no sense of looming crash or panic from business leaders.

• Job openings fall to the lowest level since 2021. It’s getting harder to find work.

• A new recession warning is about to flash as investors await the July unemployment report.

• Softening U.S. dollar erases 2024 gain as investors expect FED rate cuts.

• Harris to push for capital gains below 39.6%, bucking Biden.

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SPX Cycles - 1

• The next SPX cycle low of significance may be in early November, comprising at least 80D, 20W, and 40W cycle troughs.

• Coinciding with the US election may be just a coincidence.

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SPX Cycles - 2

• The powerful 3-3.5Y cycle (Khitchin’s cycle) is very visible in many financial markets (yesterday we showed it for SPX).

• The chart below shows the 3.5Y (180W) cycle for SPX exhibiting cycle troughs in the 2^nd half of 2026 and early 2030.

Market Summary

As of close on 4 September, 2024

. . .

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