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Today, we will examine the put/call ratio and its relationship to big corrections.
Although tariff news may exaggerate some stock market moves, the trajectory was mapped out in the Pro newsletter by cycles and technical analysis well ahead of tariff news. Snippets of that analysis were also posted in the free newsletter.
Put/Call Ratio
The 5-day moving average of the put/call ratio reached the highest level in a year.
I posted before that I would like it to approach 1. It did.
Even the power rally yesterday was not able to curl it down.
To get a longer-term perspective, consider the chart of 10D MA of CBOE total put/call ratio (PCR) going back to 2013.
Most corrections end with 10-day MA of PCR between 1 & 1.2. Yesterday it was 1.05.
Some deep corrections (2015, 2018, 2020) produce 10-day PCR of 1.2-1.3.
Nobody should be shocked if later this year and/or in 2026 10-day MA of PCR reaches or even exceeds 1.3.
BraVoCycles on X
Consider following me on X (former Twitter) in addition to the newsletter, as I often post valuable information there in real time between the newsletters.
Many extremes yesterday.
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