2024 was Great, How About 2025

As Goes January, So Goes the Year, Or Maybe Not?

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Today we will be covering...

Happy News Years Eve! Our next newsletter will be on January 2nd and we will resume our normal schedule starting on January 5th.

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  • Today, we will look at some charts of longer-term significance. The Santa Clause rally has been short-circuited so far. This is consistent with what I opined in the premium newsletters, specifically that some weakness may be seen in the last week of December.

Stock Market State

  • The US stock market had an amazing 2024; maybe it can still squeeze another high or two.

  • However, in the longer term, there are yellow flags.

  • Here is one we did not show before.

  • NY cumulative High-Low indicator is curling and exhibiting a huge negative divergence relative to the S&P 500 price.

  • In the past, reversals in NYHL lead to significant SPX corrections.

  • Will the history repeat/rhyme?

Retail Stock Market Expectations

  • People are very optimistic about the stock market, most in at least 25 years.

  • Consider following me on X (former Twitter) in addition to the newsletter, as I often post valuable information there in real time between the newsletters.

    • US Dollar may experience a significant correction after it reaches the 40-week cycle target.

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